Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.902840e-05 0.000069 0.000079 0.000091 0.000104 0.000118 0.000134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.637936e-05 0.000059 0.000074 0.000092 0.000112 0.000135 0.000162
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.655004e-05 0.000051 0.000068 0.000090 0.000116 0.000146 0.000184
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.939386e-05 0.000044 0.000063 0.000088 0.000120 0.000157 0.000204
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.367428e-05 0.000039 0.000059 0.000086 0.000122 0.000165 0.000221
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.881482e-05 0.000034 0.000054 0.000083 0.000122 0.000171 0.000234
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.469741e-05 0.000029 0.000049 0.000079 0.000121 0.000174 0.000245
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.182236e-05 0.000025 0.000046 0.000077 0.000121 0.000179 0.000258
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.079432e-05 0.000024 0.000046 0.000080 0.000129 0.000194 0.000284
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.282245e-06 0.000023 0.000045 0.000081 0.000133 0.000204 0.000303
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.201739e-06 0.000023 0.000048 0.000087 0.000146 0.000225 0.000337
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.598726e-06 0.000021 0.000045 0.000085 0.000147 0.000231 0.000351
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.763717e-06 0.000018 0.000042 0.000084 0.000148 0.000240 0.000372
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.523760e-06 0.000016 0.000040 0.000084 0.000153 0.000253 0.000399
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.325078e-06 0.000014 0.000037 0.000082 0.000155 0.000262 0.000421
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.418948e-06 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000157 0.000272 0.000444
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.691567e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000078 0.000158 0.000279 0.000464
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.101886e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000075 0.000157 0.000284 0.000480
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.564934e-07 0.000007 0.000027 0.000072 0.000155 0.000286 0.000492
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.972263e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000070 0.000155 0.000292 0.000510
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.236511e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000073 0.000164 0.000312 0.000549
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.171192e-07 0.000005 0.000024 0.000073 0.000169 0.000325 0.000577
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.158953e-07 0.000005 0.000026 0.000079 0.000184 0.000355 0.000630